Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.207979 0.236621 0.267342 0.302692 0.342195 0.384925 0.434592
2025-11-09 0.165768 0.203278 0.246207 0.298791 0.361275 0.432947 0.521172
2025-11-16 0.137086 0.179397 0.230603 0.296748 0.379502 0.479152 0.607719
2025-11-23 0.115698 0.160506 0.217501 0.294656 0.395621 0.522407 0.692690
2025-11-30 0.102344 0.149574 0.212360 0.300930 0.421455 0.578375 0.796500
2025-12-07 0.089482 0.137323 0.203595 0.300706 0.437675 0.621961 0.886193
2025-12-14 0.079012 0.126918 0.195866 0.300504 0.453005 0.664399 0.976094
2025-12-21 0.070484 0.118185 0.189340 0.300903 0.468481 0.707205 1.068275
2025-12-28 0.064395 0.112363 0.186322 0.305798 0.490269 0.759639 1.176509
2026-01-04 0.059782 0.108282 0.185400 0.313477 0.516302 0.819255 1.297997
2026-01-11 0.054656 0.102712 0.181478 0.315875 0.534012 0.867042 1.403997
2026-01-18 0.050935 0.099085 0.180267 0.322307 0.558145 0.925502 1.528789
2026-01-25 0.047791 0.096268 0.180355 0.331215 0.587415 0.994497 1.675234
2026-02-01 0.043226 0.090332 0.174513 0.329548 0.599079 1.036223 1.780973
2026-02-08 0.039302 0.085130 0.169434 0.328667 0.611793 1.080083 1.892163
2026-02-15 0.035722 0.080159 0.164262 0.327082 0.622982 1.121767 2.001621
2026-02-22 0.033657 0.077977 0.164033 0.334355 0.649972 1.191015 2.159926
2026-03-01 0.030911 0.074052 0.160085 0.334310 0.663716 1.238251 2.283184
2026-03-08 0.028434 0.070399 0.156302 0.334194 0.677155 1.285413 2.408280
2026-03-15 0.026263 0.067151 0.153006 0.334688 0.691607 1.334867 2.539406
2026-03-22 0.024761 0.065236 0.152252 0.340104 0.715575 1.402282 2.705019
2026-03-29 0.023649 0.064096 0.153005 0.348570 0.745811 1.482338 2.896561
2026-04-05 0.022126 0.061788 0.151031 0.351216 0.764744 1.542444 3.054537